Breaking The Gridlock?
Late last week, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg confirmed he was considering (again) a run for President as an Independent. The Wall Street Journal reported that Bloomberg is studying the situation and will not run unless he believes he could win. I wonder what that means?
The Bloomberg “best case” scenario would pit Donald Trump (or Ted Cruz) against Bernie Sanders (or a wounded Hillary Clinton). In such a general election matchup, Bloomberg’s “fiscal conservative, socially liberal” positions could appeal to many independents as well as significant portions of both Democrat and Republican Parties. Hmmm.
The path to a Bloomberg Presidency would not be easy. He would need to win enough States’ popular and electoral college votes outright in order to gain a majority in the Electoral College. Popular vote totals alone simply do not translate into Electoral College votes. With the Electoral College majority hanging already upon a handful of States, Bloomberg’s candidacy raise also the chance the election being decided by the House of Representatives instead of the national vote. I guess this is what pundits call a “high risk, high reward” strategy.
One obvious take away is there could be a candidate who appealed to both Democrat and Republican voters. (So oil and water can mix?)
Even more to the point is that a fiscal conservative, social conservative candidate has lost the last two Presidential elections. General election voters preferred a fiscal liberal, socially liberal candidate. I wonder why Democrats and Republicans have not figured out that social conservatism (lack of inclusiveness, religion driven social policies) is a fast track to defeat on a national basis. Fiscal conservatism is much harder for the general population to understand but economic policies that raise all boats will attract voters.
Congress has demonstrated well where fiscal conservatism combined with social conservatism leads… gridlock and unresponsive policies.
A Mike Bloomberg candidacy might spell out the fast track to end gridlock. Hmmm.